momentum devandClaude Fable 5
e624352328
Plan 006 step 1. Idempotent, applied by the harness on first run. Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
47 lines
2.6 KiB
SQL
47 lines
2.6 KiB
SQL
-- Experiment OS schema (plan 006) — pre-registered, auto-adjudicated
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-- counterfactual experiments over logged fires.
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--
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-- Applied by research/experiments/registry.apply_schema on first run (same
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-- idiom as pg_schema.sql; also handed to the owner to run manually if preferred).
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-- Idempotent: safe to run repeatedly (CREATE ... IF NOT EXISTS throughout).
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-- An experiment is a pre-registered, immutable contract. Rows are never
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-- updated after registration except status/verdict fields.
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CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS experiments (
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id TEXT PRIMARY KEY, -- slug, e.g. 'time_stop_10m_v1'
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registered_at TIMESTAMP NOT NULL,
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hypothesis TEXT NOT NULL, -- one sentence, human-readable
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population JSONB NOT NULL, -- PopulationConfig dump + extra filters
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intervention JSONB NOT NULL, -- typed params, e.g. {"kind":"time_stop","minutes":10,"confirm":"new_high_or_0.5R"}
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bars JSONB NOT NULL, -- pre-registered pass/fail criteria, e.g. {"expR_delta_min":0.05,"min_n":300,"p_max":0.05}
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futility JSONB, -- early-kill rule, e.g. {"min_n":500,"expR_delta_max":-0.02}
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fidelity JSONB NOT NULL, -- slippage floors: {"atr_frac":0.25,"spread_mult":3,"adverse_ticks":1}
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status TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT 'running', -- running|passed|failed|inconclusive|killed
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verdict_at TIMESTAMP,
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verdict_note TEXT
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);
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-- One row per (experiment, replayed fire): the counterfactual outcome.
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CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS experiment_runs (
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experiment_id TEXT NOT NULL REFERENCES experiments(id),
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fire_id TEXT NOT NULL, -- order_id / receipt correlation id
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symbol TEXT NOT NULL,
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session_date DATE NOT NULL,
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baseline_r DOUBLE PRECISION, -- what actually happened (R units)
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variant_r DOUBLE PRECISION, -- counterfactual outcome (R units)
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detail JSONB, -- entry/exit stamps, fills, floor hits
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computed_at TIMESTAMP NOT NULL,
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PRIMARY KEY (experiment_id, fire_id)
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);
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CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_exp_runs_exp_date ON experiment_runs (experiment_id, session_date);
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-- Verdict history (append-only; the dashboard ledger reads this).
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CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS experiment_verdicts (
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experiment_id TEXT NOT NULL REFERENCES experiments(id),
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as_of TIMESTAMP NOT NULL,
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n INTEGER NOT NULL,
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metrics JSONB NOT NULL, -- observed values vs each bar
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verdict TEXT NOT NULL, -- PASS|FAIL|INCONCLUSIVE|KILLED
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PRIMARY KEY (experiment_id, as_of)
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);
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