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momentum devandClaude Opus 5.5 91af4c2e93 feat: nightly Ross-recap learning loop on the owner's local Ollama
Why: the pilot in data/ross showed that Ross Cameron's daily recaps, joined to
the SIP tape and to what our bot saw, answer "which of his trades could we have
taken and why didn't we". It was a set of one-off scripts run by hand; the
server-side youtube_claims pipeline has been dead since ~08-24 (YouTube blocks
the TrueNAS IP) and its captions fallback hid that. This makes the pilot a
nightly, local, cumulative loop without a paid LLM API.

youtube_claims/recap/ (python -m youtube_claims.recap.nightly):
- channel: yt-dlp flat listing of @DaytradeWarrior, m4a audio, faster-whisper
  small.en on CPU, pilot-format bundles (meta + our scanner list + transcript).
- extract: Ollama structured output (JSON schema) per EXTRACT_SPEC, chunked
  with overlap for long transcripts and merged. The verbatim rule is enforced in
  code: every quote must be found (token-level, one-word tolerance) and is
  snapped to the transcript's words; unquoted items, trades with no surviving
  quote, prices never spoken, and passed-on names never said are dropped.
- llm: endpoint pool over RECAP_OLLAMA_HOSTS (round-robin + failover, per-host
  model/ctx/think pins) since the owner runs several Ollama boxes.
- tape/join/ourside: ported join.py/ourside.py -- tickers are price-verified on
  the Alpaca SIP tape (plus an order-free check for his own named ticker), then
  paper (:5433) and live (:5434) event views are attached. Bars cached on disk.
- store + schema.sql: idempotent recap_* tables in the transcripts schema,
  upserted per video_id. report: the pilot's sections + "what changed since last
  run" against the previous day's metrics JSON.
- evaluate: scores any model/prompt against the 36 gold extractions.

Model choice (36 gold videos, final code path, P/R):
  gpt-oss:20b on the workstation GPU, two focused calls, think=low:
    trades P .84 R .70; tickers P .82 R .77; entry +-2% P .54 R .50;
    passed-on P .66 R .76; temperature 16/31; kind 30/36; ~49 s/video.
  tools:latest (4B, server) one call: trades P .81 R .72, tickers P .83 R .85,
    passed-on P .80 R .75, temperature 20/31, but it invents prices
    (entry P .42) and occasionally runs away (5-9 min). Prices drive the tape
    verification, so the more precise local model is the default.
  Iterations: prompt v2 + spoken-price rescale (699 -> 6.99) + split calls took
  gpt-oss trades F1 .74 -> .76-.78 and tickers .78 -> .79-.80; think=medium
  blew the token budget. qwen3-30b-a3b on mason only finished 5 videos (host
  saturated) -- inconclusive.

Also: youtube_claims/transcription.py::_captions_fallback now picks the
youtube-transcript-api shape by feature detection instead of retrying the
removed get_transcript on any error, and transcribe() reports both the whisper
and captions causes -- the IpBlocked error was being masked as AttributeError.

No trading code touched.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-09-25 16:23:18 -05:00

456 lines
20 KiB
Python

"""Bundle -> structured recap record with the owner's local Ollama.
Pipeline per video: split the bundle into overlapping transcript chunks (only if it is longer
than the model comfortably handles) -> one structured-output call per chunk -> verify every
quote against the FULL transcript (snap to verbatim, drop what can't be found) -> merge the
chunk records (dedupe the overlap) -> normalise tickers. The verification + merge are pure and
unit-tested; only `ollama_chat` touches the network."""
from __future__ import annotations
import json
import re
import time
import urllib.error
import urllib.request
from collections import Counter
from youtube_claims.recap import prompt as P
from youtube_claims.recap import settings
from youtube_claims.recap.quotes import Transcript, _tok, transcript_text_from_bundle
_HEADER_MARK = "TRANSCRIPT (mm:ss text):"
_TICKER = re.compile(r"[A-Z]{1,5}")
_NULLISH = {"", "NULL", "NONE", "N/A", "NA", "UNKNOWN", "TBD", "?", "-"}
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- Ollama
def ollama_chat(system: str, user: str, *, model: str, host: str, schema: dict | None = None,
num_ctx: int | None = None, think=None, timeout: int = 1800,
temperature: float = 0.0, num_predict: int = 12000) -> tuple[str, dict]:
"""One non-streaming /api/chat call in structured-output mode. Returns (content, stats)."""
payload = {"model": model, "stream": False, "format": schema or "json",
"messages": [{"role": "system", "content": system}, {"role": "user", "content": user}],
"options": {"temperature": temperature, "num_predict": num_predict}}
if num_ctx:
payload["options"]["num_ctx"] = num_ctx
if think is not None:
payload["think"] = think
req = urllib.request.Request(host.rstrip("/") + "/api/chat", data=json.dumps(payload).encode(),
headers={"Content-Type": "application/json"})
t0 = time.time()
try:
with urllib.request.urlopen(req, timeout=timeout) as r:
body = json.load(r)
except urllib.error.HTTPError as e: # surface Ollama's own message (bad model, bad think...)
raise RuntimeError(f"ollama {e.code}: {e.read().decode(errors='replace')[:300]}") from e
stats = {"seconds": round(time.time() - t0, 1), "prompt_tokens": body.get("prompt_eval_count"),
"output_tokens": body.get("eval_count"), "done_reason": body.get("done_reason")}
return (body.get("message") or {}).get("content") or "", stats
def parse_json(raw: str) -> dict:
"""Structured mode returns bare JSON; tolerate a stray code fence or preamble anyway."""
raw = (raw or "").strip()
try:
return json.loads(raw)
except json.JSONDecodeError:
m = re.search(r"\{.*\}", raw, re.S)
if not m:
raise
return json.loads(m.group(0))
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- chunking
def split_bundle(bundle: str) -> tuple[str, list[str]]:
"""(header incl. the transcript marker, transcript lines)."""
if _HEADER_MARK not in bundle:
return "", [ln for ln in bundle.splitlines() if ln.strip()]
head, body = bundle.split(_HEADER_MARK, 1)
return head + _HEADER_MARK, [ln for ln in body.splitlines() if ln.strip()]
def chunk_bundle(bundle: str, max_chars: int, overlap_lines: int = 4) -> list[str]:
"""The bundle itself if it fits, else header + consecutive transcript slices of about
max_chars each, consecutive slices sharing `overlap_lines` lines so nothing said across
a boundary is lost (the merge dedupes what both halves extracted)."""
if len(bundle) <= max_chars:
return [bundle]
head, lines = split_bundle(bundle)
budget = max(2000, max_chars - len(head))
out, i = [], 0
while i < len(lines):
n, j = 0, i
while j < len(lines) and (n + len(lines[j]) + 1 <= budget or j == i):
n += len(lines[j]) + 1
j += 1
out.append(head + "\n" + "\n".join(lines[i:j]))
if j >= len(lines):
break
i = max(i + 1, j - overlap_lines)
return out
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- normalisation
def clean_ticker(raw) -> str | None:
t = re.sub(r"[\s.$]", "", str(raw or "")).upper()
if t in _NULLISH or not _TICKER.fullmatch(t):
return None
return t
def _num(x):
if x is None or isinstance(x, bool):
return None
if isinstance(x, (int, float)):
return float(x)
m = re.search(r"-?\d[\d,]*\.?\d*", str(x))
if not m:
return None
try:
return float(m.group(0).replace(",", ""))
except ValueError:
return None
def _price_forms(p: float) -> set[str]:
"""How a spoken price shows up in a whisper transcript: 5.5 -> 5.50, 5.5, 550, $5.50;
6.0 -> 6, 6.00, 600; 12.25 -> 12.25, 1225."""
cents = int(round(p * 100))
forms = {f"{p:.2f}", f"{p:.2f}".rstrip("0").rstrip("."), str(cents)}
if cents % 100 == 0:
forms.add(str(cents // 100))
if p < 1:
forms.add(str(cents)) # "73 cents"
return forms
def price_mentioned(tx: Transcript, p) -> bool:
"""Anti-hallucination for numbers: the price (in some spoken form) occurs in the transcript."""
if p is None:
return True
toks = tx.token_set
return any(f in toks for f in _price_forms(float(p)))
def name_mentioned(tx: Transcript, heard, guess) -> bool:
"""The stock was actually named: the heard name (as a phrase) or the guessed symbol occurs
in the transcript, or the symbol spelled out letter by letter ("K I T T")."""
ht = _tok(str(heard or ""))
if ht and (" " + " ".join(ht) + " ") in tx.joined:
return True
g = (str(guess or "")).lower()
return bool(g) and (g in tx.token_set or (" " + " ".join(g) + " ") in tx.joined)
def _enum(x, allowed, default=None):
x = (str(x).strip().lower() if x is not None else None)
return x if x in allowed else default
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- verification
MAX_QUOTE_WORDS = 50
def _snap(tx: Transcript, q) -> str | None:
"""The transcript's own words for quote q (None if not found). A model sometimes pastes a
whole paragraph as the "quote"; it is verified in full, then cut to its first
MAX_QUOTE_WORDS words -- still verbatim, and short enough to stay a pointer, not a copy."""
s = tx.find(q) if isinstance(q, str) and q.strip() else None
if s is not None:
words = s.split()
if len(words) > MAX_QUOTE_WORDS:
s = " ".join(words[:MAX_QUOTE_WORDS])
return s
def _quoted_list(tx: Transcript, items, key: str, stats: Counter, label: str) -> list[dict]:
out = []
for it in items or []:
if not isinstance(it, dict):
continue
s = _snap(tx, it.get("quote"))
if s is None:
stats[f"dropped_{label}"] += 1
continue
out.append({key: str(it.get(key) or "").strip(), "quote": s})
return out
def _descriptor_ok(tx: Transcript, s: str) -> bool:
toks = _tok(s)
if not toks:
return False
if len(toks) >= 3:
return tx.find(s) is not None
return (" " + " ".join(toks) + " ") in tx.joined
def verify_record(rec: dict, tx: Transcript, stats: Counter | None = None) -> dict:
"""Enforce the verbatim-quote rule in code. Quoted items whose quote is not in the
transcript are dropped; accepted quotes are replaced by the transcript's exact words;
a trade with no surviving quote at all (no evidence he described it) is dropped."""
stats = stats if stats is not None else Counter()
day_in = rec.get("day") or {}
mq = _snap(tx, day_in.get("market_quote"))
if day_in.get("market_quote") and mq is None:
stats["dropped_market_quote"] += 1
day = {
"net_pnl": _num(day_in.get("net_pnl")),
"green": day_in.get("green") if isinstance(day_in.get("green"), bool) else None,
"market_temperature": _enum(day_in.get("market_temperature"), {"hot", "cold", "mixed"}),
"market_quote": mq,
"max_loss_hit": day_in.get("max_loss_hit") if isinstance(day_in.get("max_loss_hit"), bool) else None,
"daily_goal_comment": day_in.get("daily_goal_comment") or None,
"sizing_comment": day_in.get("sizing_comment") or None,
}
trades = []
for t in rec.get("trades") or []:
if not isinstance(t, dict):
continue
sc_in = t.get("stock_context") or {}
cq = _snap(tx, sc_in.get("catalyst_quote"))
sc = {"catalyst": (sc_in.get("catalyst") or None) if cq else None,
"catalyst_quote": cq,
"float": sc_in.get("float") or None,
"pct_up_at_entry": sc_in.get("pct_up_at_entry") or None,
"leading_gainer_rank": _num(sc_in.get("leading_gainer_rank")),
"other": [s for s in (sc_in.get("other") or []) if isinstance(s, str) and _descriptor_ok(tx, s)]}
out = {
"ticker_heard": str(t.get("ticker_heard") or "").strip() or None,
"ticker_guess": clean_ticker(t.get("ticker_guess")) or clean_ticker(t.get("ticker_heard")),
"entry_time_hint": t.get("entry_time_hint") or None,
"setup": _enum(t.get("setup"), set(P.SETUPS), "other"),
"setup_quote": _snap(tx, t.get("setup_quote")),
"entry_price": _num(t.get("entry_price")), "exit_price": _num(t.get("exit_price")),
"stated_high": _num(t.get("stated_high")), "stated_low": _num(t.get("stated_low")),
"shares": _num(t.get("shares")), "pnl": _num(t.get("pnl")),
"outcome": _enum(t.get("outcome"), {"win", "loss", "scratch"}),
"add_on": bool(t.get("add_on")),
"stock_context": sc,
"why_entered": _quoted_list(tx, t.get("why_entered"), "reason", stats, "why_entered"),
"tape_reads": _quoted_list(tx, t.get("tape_reads"), "read", stats, "tape_reads"),
"why_exited": _quoted_list(tx, t.get("why_exited"), "reason", stats, "why_exited"),
"mistake_or_lesson": _quoted_list(tx, t.get("mistake_or_lesson"), "lesson", stats, "lessons"),
}
for k in ("entry_price", "exit_price", "stated_high", "stated_low"):
if out[k] is not None and not price_mentioned(tx, out[k]):
stats["dropped_unspoken_price"] += 1
out[k] = None
if t.get("setup_quote") and out["setup_quote"] is None:
stats["dropped_setup_quote"] += 1
if not (out["setup_quote"] or out["why_entered"] or out["why_exited"] or out["tape_reads"]
or out["mistake_or_lesson"]):
stats["dropped_trades"] += 1
continue
trades.append(out)
passed = []
for p in rec.get("passed_on") or []:
if not isinstance(p, dict):
continue
s = _snap(tx, p.get("quote"))
if s is None:
stats["dropped_passed_on"] += 1
continue
if not name_mentioned(tx, p.get("ticker_heard"), p.get("ticker_guess")):
stats["dropped_passed_unnamed"] += 1 # e.g. a scanner-list name he never said
continue
passed.append({"ticker_heard": str(p.get("ticker_heard") or "").strip() or None,
"ticker_guess": clean_ticker(p.get("ticker_guess")) or clean_ticker(p.get("ticker_heard")),
"reason": str(p.get("reason") or "").strip(), "quote": s})
rules = _quoted_list(tx, rec.get("rules_stated"), "rule", stats, "rules")
return {"video_kind": _enum(rec.get("video_kind"), set(P.KINDS), "other"),
"session_date": rec.get("session_date") if _is_date(rec.get("session_date")) else None,
"day": day, "trades": trades, "passed_on": passed, "rules_stated": rules}
def _is_date(s) -> bool:
return isinstance(s, str) and bool(re.fullmatch(r"\d{4}-\d{2}-\d{2}", s))
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- merge
def _qkey(q) -> str:
return " ".join(_tok(q or ""))
def _overlaps(a: str, b: str) -> bool:
return bool(a) and bool(b) and (a in b or b in a)
def _same_trade(a: dict, b: dict) -> bool:
if (a.get("ticker_guess") or a.get("ticker_heard")) != (b.get("ticker_guess") or b.get("ticker_heard")):
return False
qa = {_qkey(a.get("setup_quote"))} | {_qkey(x["quote"]) for k in ("why_entered", "why_exited") for x in a[k]}
qb = {_qkey(b.get("setup_quote"))} | {_qkey(x["quote"]) for k in ("why_entered", "why_exited") for x in b[k]}
qa.discard(""); qb.discard("")
return any(_overlaps(x, y) for x in qa for y in qb)
def _union_quoted(a: list[dict], b: list[dict]) -> list[dict]:
out = list(a)
for x in b:
if not any(_overlaps(_qkey(x["quote"]), _qkey(y["quote"])) for y in out):
out.append(x)
return out
def merge_records(parts: list[dict]) -> dict:
"""Merge verified per-chunk records into one. Chunks overlap, so the same trade / pass /
rule can come back twice: trades are the same when ticker matches and a quote overlaps
(their fields are then unioned, first non-null wins); passes dedupe by ticker; rules by
quote. (A traded ticker may also be passed on -- he often skips a second entry.)"""
parts = [p for p in parts if p]
if not parts:
return {"video_kind": "other", "session_date": None, "day": {}, "trades": [], "passed_on": [],
"rules_stated": []}
kinds = Counter(p.get("video_kind") for p in parts)
kind = max(kinds, key=lambda k: (kinds[k], -[p.get("video_kind") for p in parts].index(k)))
day: dict = {}
for p in parts:
for k, v in (p.get("day") or {}).items():
if day.get(k) is None and v is not None:
day[k] = v
temps = Counter(p["day"].get("market_temperature") for p in parts if (p.get("day") or {}).get("market_temperature"))
if len(temps) > 1:
top = temps.most_common()
day["market_temperature"] = top[0][0] if top[0][1] > top[1][1] else "mixed"
trades: list[dict] = []
for p in parts:
for t in p.get("trades") or []:
dup = next((x for x in trades if _same_trade(x, t)), None)
if dup is None:
trades.append(json.loads(json.dumps(t)))
continue
for k, v in t.items():
if k in ("why_entered", "tape_reads", "why_exited", "mistake_or_lesson"):
dup[k] = _union_quoted(dup[k], v)
elif k == "stock_context":
for ck, cv in (v or {}).items():
if ck == "other":
dup[k]["other"] = list(dict.fromkeys((dup[k].get("other") or []) + (cv or [])))
elif dup[k].get(ck) is None:
dup[k][ck] = cv
elif dup.get(k) is None and v is not None:
dup[k] = v
passed, seen = [], set()
for p in parts:
for x in p.get("passed_on") or []:
key = x.get("ticker_guess") or (x.get("ticker_heard") or "").upper()
if key in seen:
continue
seen.add(key)
passed.append(x)
rules: list[dict] = []
for p in parts:
rules = _union_quoted(rules, p.get("rules_stated") or [])
return {"video_kind": kind, "session_date": next((p["session_date"] for p in parts if p.get("session_date")), None),
"day": day, "trades": trades, "passed_on": passed, "rules_stated": rules}
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- spoken prices
def scanner_prices(bundle: str) -> dict[str, float]:
"""{symbol: price} from the bundle's OUR SCANNER LIST lines ('SYM 12.3% $4.5')."""
out: dict[str, float] = {}
head = bundle.split(_HEADER_MARK, 1)[0]
for sym, px in re.findall(r"\b([A-Z]{1,5}) -?[\d.]+% \$([\d.]+)", head):
out[sym] = max(out.get(sym, 0.0), float(px))
return out
def fix_spoken_prices(rec: dict, prices: dict[str, float]) -> int:
"""ASR/LLM render "six ninety-nine" as 699 -- Ross trades small caps, so a trade price
>= 100 is divided by 100 unless the scanner saw that ticker above $50. Returns #fixes."""
n = 0
for t in rec.get("trades") or []:
if prices.get(t.get("ticker_guess") or "", 0) >= 50:
continue
for k in ("entry_price", "exit_price", "stated_high", "stated_low"):
v = t.get(k)
if v is not None and v >= 100:
t[k] = round(v / 100, 4)
n += 1
return n
# ---------------------------------------------------------------- driver
def bundle_meta(bundle: str) -> dict:
meta = {}
for ln in bundle.splitlines()[:6]:
k, _, v = ln.partition(": ")
if k in ("video_id", "upload_date", "title", "transcript_source"):
meta[k] = v.strip()
return meta
def extract_bundle(bundle: str, *, model: str | None = None, host: str | None = None,
num_ctx: int | None = None, think=None, chunk_chars: int | None = None,
system: str | None = None, split: bool | None = None, log=print) -> tuple[dict, dict]:
"""Extract one video. Returns (record per EXTRACT_SPEC, run metadata incl. drop stats).
split=True asks for trades/day and for passed-on/rules in two focused calls per chunk
(better recall from a small local model at ~2x the time)."""
split = settings.SPLIT_CALLS if split is None else split
think = settings.OLLAMA_THINK if think is None else think
from youtube_claims.recap.llm import Endpoint, OllamaPool, from_settings
if host: # an explicit endpoint (evaluation runs)
pool = OllamaPool([Endpoint(host.rstrip("/"))], model or settings.OLLAMA_MODEL,
settings.OLLAMA_NUM_CTX if num_ctx is None else (num_ctx or None), think,
call=ollama_chat)
else:
pool = from_settings()
if model:
pool.default_model = model
if num_ctx is not None:
pool.default_ctx = num_ctx or None
pool.default_think = think
model = pool.default_model
chunk_chars = chunk_chars or settings.CHUNK_CHARS
meta = bundle_meta(bundle)
tx = Transcript(transcript_text_from_bundle(bundle))
chunks = chunk_bundle(bundle, chunk_chars)
stats: Counter = Counter()
parts, calls = [], []
tasks = P.SPLIT_TASKS if split else [(None, P.SCHEMA)]
for i, ch in enumerate(chunks, 1):
note = P.PART_NOTE.format(i=i, n=len(chunks)) if len(chunks) > 1 else ""
data: dict | None = {}
for task, schema in tasks:
user = P.USER_TMPL.format(part_note=note + (task or ""), bundle=ch)
got = None
for attempt in range(2):
try:
raw, st = pool.chat(system or P.SYSTEM, user, schema=schema, timeout=settings.OLLAMA_TIMEOUT,
temperature=0.0 if attempt == 0 else 0.3,
num_predict=settings.OLLAMA_NUM_PREDICT)
calls.append(st)
got = parse_json(raw)
break
except (json.JSONDecodeError, ValueError) as e:
stats["json_errors"] += 1
log(f" chunk {i}/{len(chunks)} bad JSON ({e}); retrying" if attempt == 0 else
f" chunk {i}/{len(chunks)} bad JSON again; skipping")
if got is None:
data = None
break
data.update({k: v for k, v in got.items() if k in schema["properties"]}) # a call may echo other keys empty
if data is None:
stats["chunks_failed"] += 1
continue
for k in ("trades", "passed_on", "rules_stated"):
stats[f"raw_{k}"] += len(data.get(k) or [])
parts.append(verify_record(data, tx, stats))
if not parts:
raise RuntimeError(f"extraction produced nothing for {meta.get('video_id')} ({dict(stats)})")
rec = merge_records(parts)
fixed = fix_spoken_prices(rec, scanner_prices(bundle))
if fixed:
stats["prices_rescaled"] += fixed
up = meta.get("upload_date") or ""
out = {"video_id": meta.get("video_id"), "upload_date": up,
"session_date": rec.get("session_date"), "video_kind": rec["video_kind"],
"day": rec["day"], "trades": rec["trades"], "passed_on": rec["passed_on"],
"rules_stated": rec["rules_stated"]}
run = {"model": model, "hosts": sorted({c.get("host") for c in calls if c.get("host")}),
"chunks": len(chunks), "split": split, "calls": calls,
"seconds": round(sum(c["seconds"] for c in calls), 1), "stats": dict(stats)}
return out, run