Files
momentum devandClaude Fable 5 70c9e3715b experiment-os: first-cohort registrations (5 experiments) (+test)
Plan 006 step 4. experiments/*.json for time_stop_10m_v1, probe_add_v1,
asym_exit_v1, rank_one_bullet_v1, pm1_v1 — bars verbatim from the plan table,
production population, fidelity floors {0.25, 3, 1} from the research doc. Also
hardened evaluate(): n==0 and any uncomputable bar metric -> INCONCLUSIVE (not a
false FAIL). Cohort registers + survives run->adjudicate end-to-end. 25 tests green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-13 23:48:58 -04:00

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{
"id": "pm1_v1",
"hypothesis": "The premarket-setup (pm1) detector's continuation clears its pre-registered promotion bar (median +10% upside, drawdown better than -6%, +1R rate > 50% overall and on the >=50%-gap subset).",
"population": {},
"intervention": {"kind": "pm1_bridge"},
"bars": {"median_up_60m_min": 0.10, "median_dd_60m_min": -0.06, "rate_1r_min": 0.50, "big_gap_rate_1r_min": 0.50},
"futility": null,
"fidelity": {"atr_frac": 0.25, "spread_mult": 3, "adverse_ticks": 1}
}